Evalla Advisors Q2 2025 Newsletter

As Q1 2025 closes out, M&A activity in the marketing sector is gaining renewed momentum. With interest rates holding steady and the cost of capital stabilizing, both strategic and private equity buyers are re-entering the market — but with a sharper focus on capabilities that drive measurable, tech-enabled outcomes. AI-powered marketing, first-party data strategy, and performance-led creative continue to be among the most sought-after capabilities.

New macro pressures, however, are shaping deal strategy in unexpected ways. The recently introduced U.S. tariffs, announced in April, are beginning to ripple across the marketing supply chain, from content production to media pricing. Buyers are becoming more surgical — focusing on firms with resilient models, domestic vendor networks, and the ability to support clients navigating this new cost environment.

Key M&A Trends Shaping the Marketing Industry:

1. Strategics Return, Focused on Integration and Efficiency: Holding companies like Publicis and WPP are back in acquisition mode, but with tighter criteria. The focus is on data, content automation, and omnichannel delivery — enabling greater margin control and client stickiness in an environment where client budgets are being re-evaluated in light of tariff- driven cost increases.

2.  Tariffs Create Pricing Pressure and Strategic Realignment:  The new 10% baseline import tariff — and 34% rate on Chinese goods — is already pressuring marketers reliant on hardware, packaging, and physical goods. As a result, agencies with U.S.-based production, nearshore capabilities, or a focus on digital-only performance marketing are gaining buyer interest. Additionally, strategic acquirers are reevaluating cross-border deal structures and looking to de-risk exposure to impacted supply chains.

3.  Private Equity Remains Active — But More Selective: PE firms are still investing, especially in agencies with recurring revenue, strong margins, and embedded tech platforms. However, valuations are being tested by economic uncertainty and tariff- driven cost headwinds — particularly for firms exposed to retail and CPG. Many buyers are now favoring smaller tuck-ins with a clear path to consolidation and cost rationalization.

4.  AI Remains the Centerpiece of Strategic Value: Agencies with AI-enabled workflows — from automated content generation to media mix modeling — are commanding premium valuations. These capabilities are increasingly seen as a hedge against rising labor and production costs, particularly as global supply volatility continues into Q2.

5.  Retail Media and Influencer Deals Mature: Retail media remains hot — but buyers are now prioritizing platform integration and closed-loop attribution over scale. Similarly, influencer marketing M&A is focusing on data-led creators, social commerce conversion, and cultural insight firms that help brands localize messaging in a rapidly shifting geopolitical and cost environment.

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